Handbook of foreign policy analysis: methods for practical application in foreign policy planning, strategic planning, and business risk assessment
Brill Academic Pub, 1989 - 392 ページ
This book provides the reader with a comprehensive study of the future perspectives of the international order after the collapse of the Evil Empire. The first part of the book reviews the likely evolution of the international system in the years to come, covering the global implications of the end of the East--West order (political, economic & strategic impact); the second part studies the specificities of the situation in Europe, the U.S.A., Asia, & the rest of the world, as well as the role of some international organizations. The book addresses the basic questions facing us since the collapse of the socialist system: What has been the impact of the collapse of the East--West order on the international system? How will various regions & actors be affected by these changes? How will they react to them? What will be the most important challenges & threats in the future international system, & how can we prepare for them? Gathered together in this volume are contributions from some of the most eminent experts from the academic community as well as from governmental & international organizations, making it a reference book for students of international affairs as well as policy-makers & corporate managers.
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AFLEET IFLEET AEXP analysis cf analysis Chapter Application APRES IPRES AFLEET Argentina arrow diagram assessment assumptions Basic Idea Bayesian inference behaviour calculated computer programs correlation coefficients Costs countries coup cross-impact analysis data points data series databases decision decision-making decisional tree dependent determined deviations econometric economic employed error estimated example experts factor analysis factor loadings flow chart forecast Further Reading future global models IFLEET AEXP IEXP impact important independent variable IPRES AFLEET IFLEET large computer means measures methods morphological box multiple correlation multiple regression non-linear Occurrence of consequence options parameters partial partial autocorrelations path coefficients phase political Possible Follow-ups prediction problem question R-factor regression analysis regression coefficients regression equation relationship respective scale scenarios scientific scores selected simple situation so-called social standard statistical Step strategy systematic Table Task theoretical trend analysis utility variance