Iran and world oil supply: hearing before the Committee on Energy and Natural Resources, United States Senate, Ninety-sixth Congress, first session, 第 3 部

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153 ページ - ... Saudi Arabia which would constitute a loss of 30 percent of the free world's oil supplies — would be disastrous. This underscores the importance of action in two areas where GAO has done previous work and made recommendations. First, the Government needs to get its conservation act together. There is no reason to believe that the world is not going to continue to experience periods of tight supply and upward pressure on prices. The time simply is here to bite the bullet on conservation. Secondly,...
179 ページ - I noted that the three overriding problems concerning energy conservation are: — The lack of consistent, specific planning which clearly identifies what contribution energy conservation is to make in the overall national energy plan. — The lack of an aggressive, coordinated effort to conserve energy in Federal operations and facilities.
177 ページ - DOE has not analyzed whether the states and localities have the necessary personnel to significantly step up enforcement. Furthermore, a few States have indicated a desire to repeal the 55 mph limit. A separate problem with DOE's oil savings in the transportation sector is that some seem to be counted twice. Much discretionary driving is done on highways and presumably much of it is done above 55 mph. Thus, cutting unnecessary personal driving would probably reduce the savings from stricter speed...
139 ページ - B-178205 The Honorable Henry M. Jackson Chairman, Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources Dear Mr. Chairman: This is in response to your request of February 13, 1979, for a quick analysis of the energy and economic effects of the Iranian oil situation, based on our experience and presently available data. This letter summarizes the results of our analysis, and the enclosure provides the background and details. We should stress...
85 ページ - The hearing is adjourned. [Whereupon, at 1 pm, the hearing was adjourned.] Appendix 1 PREPARED STATEMENT OF SIDNEY L.
159 ページ - ... and allocation controls. Any or all of these may be happening and should be looked into further. — It appears that the East Coast stands to lose a substantially greater percent of refined products than other regions. Based on 1977 transportation patterns and in the absence of compensating action by the oil companies, the East Coast might lose approximately 5 percent of its refined products compared with 1 percent for the West Coast and less than 1 percent in the Gulf and Mid-West. The West...
143 ページ - ... would be more significantly hurt than most others. In our letter report to Congress on "Energy Conservation Programs and Policies Implemented since the 1973 Oil Embargo", dated February 13, 1979 (EMD-79-34), we noted a lack of specific planning and direction by the Government in energy conservation. We noted that the three overriding problems concerning energy conservation are: — The lack of consistent, specific planning which clearly identifies what contribution energy conservation is to make...
165 ページ - ... only 60 to 70 thousand barrels per day (MBD) — hardly a noticeable amount. Japan and Italy have larger requirements. If they are added to the first four, the US requirement would climb to about 130 to 140 MBD, still less than 1 percent of our daily consumption. While this would undoubtedly be felt, the nation's energy system should have enough flexibility to forego such small additional amounts without significant strain, or certain conservation measures could be imposed to take up the slack....
181 ページ - fuel switching" is substituting electric power produced from coal, nuclear, gas, or hydroelectric sources for power generated from oil. Such power can be distributed ("wheeled") from utilities which do not use oil to those that do. DOE estimates the total practicable oil savings from power wheeling wheeling at 100 MBD. One unresolved question, however, is the cost of wheeled power. During the recent coal strike, some coal short utilities were forced to purchase power from others. This power was considered...
169 ページ - ... raising import prices and contributing further to inflation. VThe increase scheduled for all 1979 was 14.5 percent. When spread over the year, average prices would have increased 10 percent. Our scenario incorporates a 17 (10 + 7) percent increase. TABLE 5 Economic Effects of the Iranian Oil Cutoff 1979 1980 GNP Loss (billions 1978 $) -8.5 -14.0 Additional Inflation (higher rate of increase in the consumer price index) .7 .4 Additional Unemployment ( increase in the unemployment rate) .1 .2 Additions...